Rebels predict end of Gaddafi

Local residents greet advancing rebel fighters on the outskirts of Tripoli Keystone

Libyan government tanks shelled parts of central Tripoli on Monday after rebels swept into the heart of the city, meeting little resistance.

Crowds took to the streets to celebrate what they saw as the end of Moammar Gaddafi’s four decades in power.

The whereabouts of the Libyan leader were unknown, but rebels held three of his sons, Saif al-Islam, Saadi and Mohammed.
 
Despite euphoria among rebels and their backers in Tripoli and elsewhere, a rebel spokesman, identified on Arab network Al Jazeera as Nasser, said government troops still controlled “about 15 to 20 per cent of the city”.

Adel Shaltout, of the Libyan Mission to the United Nations in Geneva who announced in February that the entire mission was pledging allegiance to the uprising, told swissinfo.ch that friends and relatives living in Tripoli had spoken to him of their joy.

Although he admitted that no-one knew what Gaddafi might do next, he was optimistic about the future.

“The departure of Gaddafi is the first step, but the Libyan people are thinking about how to build a new state, a modern state, with the rule of law, respect for human rights,” he said.

End game?

Swiss Foreign Minister Micheline Calmy-Rey said on Monday she was happy about what appeared to be the approaching end of the Gaddafi regime and welcomed greater freedom and democracy for the Libyan people.
 
She added that Switzerland had not recognised the rebel-led National Transitional Council because it only recognised states.

United States President Barack Obama said Libya was “slipping from the grasp of a tyrant” and urged Gaddafi to relinquish power to prevent more bloodshed.
 

The rebels seized control of most of Tripoli in a lightning advance on Sunday.
 
Gaddafi’s defenders quickly melted away as his 42-year rule crumbled, but the leader’s whereabouts were unknown and pockets of resistance remained.
 
Rebel spokesman Mohammed Abdel-Rahman, who is in Tripoli with rebel forces, cautioned that Gaddafi troops still posed a threat to rebels, and that as long as Gaddafi remained on the run “the danger is still there”.
 
Freddy Gsteiger, a correspondent for Swiss Radio DRS, added that while a rapid collapse of the regime was conceivable, further bloodshed couldn’t be ruled out.
 
“Even with a small group of remaining soldiers Gaddafi can still wage a war using terrorist methods. For that he doesn’t need an organised army or extensive military power. That could also cause a lot of damage,” he said.
 
“If Gaddafi really wants to fight until the last drop of blood, there could be many casualties.”

Gaddafi defiant

For his part Gaddafi, who seized power in a military coup in 1969, said he was opening up weapons stores to arm the population. His spokesman, Moussa Ibrahim, predicted a violent reckoning by the rebels.
 
“A massacre will be committed inside Tripoli if one side wins now, because the rebels have come with such hatred, such vendetta… Even if the leader leaves or steps down now, there will be a massacre.”

However, Shaltout said such talk was mere propaganda and he rejected the suggestion that Gaddafi supporters might be genuinely afraid for their future.

“The Libyan people are very tolerant. We are going to have an independent judicial system. Everyone will have a fair trial.”

“Everyone should know this is a new state, a state of tolerance, a state of mercy, a state of brotherhood and friendship. We are not going to clash with each other because at the end of the day we are all Libyans,” he said.

Coordinated plan

The rebel breakthrough, after a long deadlock in Libya’s six-month-old civil war, was the culmination of a closely coordinated plan by rebels, Nato and anti-Gaddafi residents inside Tripoli, rebel leaders said.

  

Rebel fighters from the west swept over 30 kilometres in a matter of hours on Sunday, taking town after town and overwhelming a major military base as residents poured out to cheer them. At the same time, Tripoli residents secretly armed by rebels rose up. 

The International Criminal Court in The Hague, which wants Gaddafi’s son Saif al-Islam along with his father on charges of crimes against humanity, confirmed he had been held and said he should be handed over for trial. 

Three options

As for what happens next, Gsteiger said Gaddafi “basically has three options”.
 
“First, he could flee into exile. The rebels have just confirmed that their offer still stands for a safe conduct for him and his family to leave the country,” he said.
 
“He could also fight to the last and die a martyr – as he has previously said he would. Or third, he is captured and tried for crimes against humanity by the International Criminal Court.”
 
Gsteiger didn’t think the rebels were in a position, either militarily or from an organisational point of view, to rebuild the country’s infrastructure quickly.
 
“It shouldn’t be forgotten that the current success is not thanks to the superior strategy or organisation of the rebels but rather to the collapse of the Gaddafi regime and armed forces – and Nato contributed significantly to that,” he said.
 
The chances were slim, he added, that stable or democratic conditions would be seen in Libya in the near future.
 
“On the other hand the international community – the United Nations, the European Union, Nato – are obviously now obliged to support the rebels, organisationally and financially, but above all with advice. The opposition leaders are really depending on that.”

Frozen assets

At the beginning of the uprising, Switzerland blocked “potentially illegal” assets belonging to Gaddafi and his circle.

 

Libya responding by denying that Gaddafi had funds in banks in Switzerland or any other country.

During the diplomatic row between the two countries that broke out in 2008, billions of francs worth of Libyan deposits were removed, leaving only SFr630 million ($800 million), according to the Swiss National Bank.

However, it was not clear what proportion of the remaining money might belong to the people named by the Swiss government.

By June the government said it had frozen a total of SFr650 million worth of Libyan assets.

Many of them belonged to Libyan public companies rather than individuals.
  
Libya is not the only case of frozen assets in Switzerland this year.

At the end of May the assets of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and nine senior officials were frozen, and travel bans imposed on them.

Switzerland also froze SFr60 million belonging to former Tunisian president Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali and his clan and identified about SFr400 million belonging to former Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak and his close entourage.

Switzerland and Libya

The temporary detention of Moammar Gaddafi’s son Hannibal in Geneva in mid-July 2008, accused of mistreating his servants, led to political tensions between Libya and Switzerland.
 
The Libyan authorities reacted by taking measures against Swiss nationals and companies in Libya.
 
On February 23, 2010, one of two Swiss citizens who had been prevented from leaving Libya was permitted to return to Switzerland.
 
The other was released on June 13, 2010 after serving a four month prison sentence for visa violations, and immediately returned to Switzerland.